Buildings
Emissions from the buildings sector cover emissions from fuel combustion for heating and cooling and garden machinery, and, perhaps unexpectedly, fluorinated gases released from aerosols and metered dose inhalers. Emissions fell 22% between 1990 and 2022.
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Improving the energy efficiency of buildings reduces carbon emissions, cuts household bills and makes us healthier. The top priority in reducing emissions from buildings is to improve the efficiency of each building, the next priority is to change heating systems over to zero-carbon technologies. The Bute House Agreement between the Scottish Greens and the SNP committed to the majority of homes achieving an energy efficiency of EPC C or better by 2030, and all homes reaching this level by 2033. The 2024-5 Programme for Government confirmed that there will be a Heat in Building Bill in this parliamentary term.
The Scottish Fuel Poverty Advisory Panel states that a 31% of households in Scotland are in fuel poverty.
An AgeUK survey of older people in Scotland in 2022 found that 76% were always concerned about paying their electricity bill, only 46% felt they could heat their home to a comfortable level and four in ten identified themselves as living in fuel poverty.
The Scottish Government is committed to spend £1.8bn over this Parliament on its current programme of work in the area of energy efficiency improvements to homes and the installation of zero-carbon heating systems. The Heat in Buildings Strategy requires over a million homes and the equivalent of 50,000 non-domestic buildings to be using zero-emissions heat by 2030.
Figure 9: emissions in MtCO2e from buildings (and some product uses) 1990-2022, showing a fall of 22% (thick orange line)
The measures in the current strategy include heat pumps, connection to heat networks, electric storage heaters and hydrogen heating systems.
In the longer term, the Scottish Government estimates that the total gross cost to deliver zero emissions for all buildings (including heating systems) by 2045 is £33bn, although householders would have spent about £5bn replacing heating systems in this time anyway.
The decarbonisation of public sector buildings is essential. Hospitals, schools and colleges, care homes services, local government buildings, leisure centres, police stations and courts, social and community housing, water, transport and environment services will all need to decarbonise. This needs government action plans with major investment, and procurement and commissioning mechanisms to enable public services to meet their statutory binding obligations. See ‘Decarbonising the public sector’ policy in the Public Sector chapter.
Reducing fuel poverty reduces costs on the NHS, with one recent estimate by the BRE Group suggesting that every £1 spent on warming up the homes of vulnerable households yields £4 in health benefits.
Four policies below set out the kind of regulatory measures, financial support, enabling actions and delivery plans that will be needed to decarbonise Scotland’s homes.
The Climate Change Plan update lists 4 outcomes for buildings, with policies and proposed policies which are supposed to achieve them:
Outcome 1: The heat supply to our homes and non-domestic buildings is very substantially decarbonised, with high penetration rates of renewable and zero emissions heating
Outcome 2: Our homes and buildings are highly energy efficient, with all buildings upgraded where it is appropriate to do so, and new buildings achieving ultra-high levels of fabric efficiency
Outcome 3: Our gas network supplies an increasing proportion of green gas (hydrogen and biomethane) and is made ready for a fully decarbonised gas future
Outcome 4: The heat transition is fair, leaving no-one behind and stimulates employment opportunities as part of the green recovery
The Scottish Government’s plan is to reduce emissions from buildings by 68% between 2020 and 2029, but with no further reductions after that.
Emissions from buildings 2020-2032 (MtCO2e)